Impacts of climate change on water requirements of winter wheat over 59 years in the Huang-Huai-Hai Plain
H. Huang, Y. Han, J. Song, Z. Zhang, H. Xiaohttps://doi.org/10.17221/164/2014-SWRCitation:Huang H., Han Y., Song J., Zhang Z., Xiao H. (2016): Impacts of climate change on water requirements of winter wheat over 59 years in the Huang-Huai-Hai Plain. Soil & Water Res., 11: 11-19.
Daily data from 40 meteorological stations in the Huang-Huai-Hai Plain from 1955 to 2013 were analyzed using the Mann-Kendall test and partial correlation to determine the temporal trends of meteorological factors and their impacts on water requirements of winter wheat in different growing periods. Results showed that water requirements during the whole growing period in the Huang-Huai-Hai Plain were between 374 and 485.2 mm with an average of 412 mm in the past 59 years. In general, the value declined by 4 mm per decade. The distribution was ribbon-like, decreasing from the N to the S. Average wind speed, humidity, and sunshine hours declined significantly (α = 0.01, 0.05, and 0.01, respectively). Average vapour pressure and temperature increased significantly (α = 0.01). Only rainfall in Dongtai, Gaoyou, and Zhumadian could meet the water requirement of winter wheat over the whole growing period. Response of crop water requirement (ETc) to meteorological factors change was linear and the order of impact on ETc was vapour pressure, temperature, wind speed, and sunshine hours, while humidity had little impact on ETc. Among the impacting factors, vapour pressure was in positive relation with ETc.Keywords:Mann-Kendall test; response of ETc; crop water requirementReferences:
Allen R.G., Pereira L.S., Raes D. (1998): Crop Evapotranspiration – Guidelines for Computing Crop Water Requirements. FAO Irrigation and Drainage Paper No. 56, Roma, FAO.Arnell Nigel W. (2004): Climate change and global water resources: SRES emissions and socio-economic scenarios. Global Environmental Change, 14, 31-52 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2003.10.006Cao H.X., Li X.L., Kang S.Z. (2008): Impacts of climate change on water requirement of main crops in Guanzhong area. Journal of Irrigation and Drainage, 27: 6–9.Shenbin Chen, Yunfeng Liu, Thomas Axel (2006): Climatic change on the Tibetan Plateau: Potential Evapotranspiration Trends from 1961–2000. Climatic Change, 76, 291-319 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-006-9080-zChowdhury S., Al-Zahrani M., And Abbas A. (2013): Implications of climate change on crop water requirements in arid region: An example of Al-Jouf, Saudi Arabia. Journal of King Saud University – Engineering Sciences, doi 10.1016/j.ksues.2013.11.001Cong Z.T., Wang S.Z., Ni G.H. (2008): Simulations of the impact of climate change on winter wheat production. Journal of Tsinghua University: Science and Technology, 48: 1426–1430.ESRI (2008): ArcGIS Desktop: Release 9.3.1. Redlands, Environmental Systems Research Institute.IPCC (2007): The physical science basis contribution of working group I to the 4th assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. In: Solomon S., Qin D., Manning M., Chen Z., Marquis M., Averyt K.B., Tignor M., Miller H.L. (eds): Climate Change. Cambridge, New York, Cambridge University Press.Jensen M.E., Burman R.D., Allen R.G. (1990): Evapotranspiration and Irrigation Water Requirements. Manual of Practice No.70, New York, ASCE.Kendall M.G. (1975): Rank Correlation Methods. 4th Ed. London, Charles Griffin.Liu X.Y., Li Y.Z., Hao W.P. (2005): Trend and causes of water requirement of main crops in North China in recent 50 years. Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering, 21: 155–159.Liu Y., Wang Y., Yang X.G. (2010): Trends in reference crop evapotranspiration and possible climatic factors in the North China Plain. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 30: 923–932.Ma J.H., Liu Y., Yang X.G., Wang W.F., Xue C.Y., Zhang X.Y. (2010): Characteristics of climate resources under global climate change in the North China Plain. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 30: 3818–3827.Mann Henry B. (1945): Nonparametric Tests Against Trend. Econometrica, 13, 245- https://doi.org/10.2307/1907187Rodríguez Díaz J. A., Weatherhead E. K., Knox J. W., Camacho E. (2007): Climate change impacts on irrigation water requirements in the Guadalquivir river basin in Spain. Regional Environmental Change, 7, 149-159 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-007-0035-3SHEN YANJUN, OKI TAIKAN, UTSUMI NOBUYUKI, KANAE SHINJIRO, HANASAKI NAOTA (): Projection of future world water resources under SRES scenarios: water withdrawal / Projection des ressources en eau mondiales futures selon les scénarios du RSSE: prélèvement d'eau. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 53, 11-33 https://doi.org/10.1623/hysj.53.1.11Shiklomanov I.A. (2000): World water resources and water use: Present assessment and outlook for 2025. In: Rijsberman F.R. (ed.): World Water Scenarios: Analysis of Global Water Resources and Use. London, Arthscan: 160–203.Song N., Sun J.S., Wang J.L. (2011): Impact of climate change on irrigation water requirement of upland rice in catchment of the Yangtse River. Journal of Hydraulic Engineering, 30: 24–28.Tabari Hossein, Hosseinzadeh Talaee P. (2013): Moisture index for Iran: Spatial and temporal analyses. Global and Planetary Change, 100, 11-19 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2012.08.010Wade S.D., Rance J., Reynard N. ( 2013): The UK climate change risk assessment 2012: assessing the impacts on water resources to inform policy makers. Water Resources Management, 27: 1085–1109.Xin-hua Wang, Mei-hua Guo, Xu-yan Xu, Juna Wen (2012): Changing Trends of Reference Crop Evapotranspiration and Impact Factors in Yunnan Mengzhi Plain in Recent 50 Years. Procedia Earth and Planetary Science, 5, 326-334 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.proeps.2012.01.055Wang Y., Jiang T., Bothe O., Fraedrich K. (2007): Changes of pan evaporation and reference evapotranspiration in the Yangtze River basin. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 90, 13-23 https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-006-0276-yWMO (1988): Analyzing Long Time Series of Hydrological Data with Respect to Climate Variability. Geneva, World Meteorological Organization (WMO), WCAP-3, WMO/TD No. 224: 1–12.Xu C.Y., Gong L.B., Jiang T., Chen D.L. (2006a): Decreasing reference evapotranspiration in a warming climate – a case of Chang Jiang (Yangtze) River catchment during 1970–2000. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 23: 513–520.Xu C.Y., Gong L.B., Jiang T., Chen D.L., Singh V.P. (2006b): Analysis of spatial distribution and temporal trend of reference evapotranspiration and pan evaporation in Changjing (Yangtze River) catchment. Journal of Hydrology, 327: 81–93.YANG Jian-ying, LIU Qin, MEI Xu-rong, YAN Chang-rong, JU Hui, XU Jian-wen (2013): Spatiotemporal Characteristics of Reference Evapotranspiration and Its Sensitivity Coefficients to Climate Factors in Huang-Huai-Hai Plain, China. Journal of Integrative Agriculture, 12, 2280-2291 https://doi.org/10.1016/S2095-3119(13)60561-4Yang X.L., Huang J., Chen F., Chu Q.Q. (2011): Comparison of temporal and spatial variation of water requirements of corn in Huang-huai-hai farming system region. Journal of China Agricultural University, 16: 26–31.Zhang Q.P., Yang X.G., Xu C.G. (2007): Analysis of coupling degree between crop water requirement of aerobic rice and rainfall in Beijing areas. Transactions of the CSAE, 23: 51–56.